Simultaneously, messages targeting civil society and other sectors began to appear, most prominently on social media. The aim was to instill a fatalistic acceptance of the inevitability and desirability of a Chinese identity for multiracial Singapore and to get Singaporeans—and not just Chinese Singaporeans—to pressure the government to align Singapore’s national interests with China’s interests. In essence, they asserted: • Unlike Lee Kuan Yew, who had died in 2015, the current Singapore leadership under Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong did not know how to deal with China. Relations were so much better then. • Singapore has no territorial claims in the SCS, so why was it siding with the United States against China? • Surely, as a “Chinese country,” Singapore should “explain” China’s position to the others or stay neutral. It is difficult to pin down the precise origins of such narratives, but they closely resemble arguments made in the Chinese media, in particular the Global Times. Appendix 2 176 Omitted was the historical fact that Lee Kuan Yew was the only noncommunist leader who in the late 1950s and early 1960s went into a CCP-backed United Front organization and emerged the victor. That drew a red line, which provided the basis on which Lee and his successors developed Singapore’s relations with China. Also ignored was the fact that even though Singapore has no territorial claims on the SCS, that does not mean it has no interest there. And, most crucial of all, although the majority of Singaporeans are ethnic Chinese, Singapore is a multiracial country organized on the basis of meritocracy and it does not view itself as a mono-racial state like China. Still, many Singaporeans, only cursorily interested in international affairs, did not realize they were being fed oversimplifications and swallowed them, or played along for other reasons. Businessmen, academics, and others with interests in China were given broad hints that their interests might suffer unless Singapore was more accommodating, and they passed the messages to the Singapore government. The Belt and Road Initiative was dangled as bait and the possibility of being excluded loomed as a threat, even though Singapore, as a highly developed country, did not need BRI infrastructure. Communist Party chairman Xi Jinping himself had asked Singapore to start a BRI-related project in Chongqing. Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong was pointedly not invited to the BRI Summit held in Beijing in 2017, although Singapore was represented at a lower level. Appeals to ethnic pride were made to yet others. The operation was effective. The pressures on the government were great. It was difficult to explain the nuances of the SCS issue or Singapore’s relations with China to the general public. Then Beijing went too far. In November 2016, nine Singapore armored personnel carriers (APCs) en route home from an overseas military exercise were seized by China on the flimsiest of excuses. 2 Singaporeans immediately understood that this was naked intimidation. Even the leader of the opposition Workers’ Party criticized China in Parliament. Beijing, by then increasingly concerned with the Trump administration, decided to settle. In January 2017, the APCs were released. The influence apparatus gradually stood down and relations returned to normal. Chinese leaders went out of their way to project friendliness. In late 2017, when news of Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong being invited to the White House by President Trump became public, the prime minister was hastily invited to come to Beijing first, where he was received by Xi and other senior Chinese leaders. Academia Most of the means by which the Chinese narratives were spread in 2016–17 were not illegal. However, in August 2017, Huang Jing, an academic born in China who was Appendix 2 177 teaching at the National University of Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy (LKYSPP), was expelled from Singapore and permanently banned from the country. The Ministry of Home Affairs (responsible for internal security and counterespionage) said in a statement announcing the expulsion that Huang had been “identified as an agent of influence of a foreign country” who had “knowingly interacted with intelligence organizations and agents of the foreign country and cooperated with them to influence the Singapore Government’s foreign policy and public opinion in Singapore. To this end, he engaged prominent and influential Singaporeans and gave them what he claimed was ‘privileged information’ about the foreign country so as to influence their opinions in favor of that country. Huang also recruited others in aid of his operations.” 3 The statement went on to say that Huang gave supposedly “privileged information” to a senior member of the school of public policy in order that it be conveyed to the Singapore government. The information was duly conveyed to very senior public officials who were in a position to direct Singapore’s foreign policy. The intention, the statement said, was to use the information to cause the Singapore government to change its foreign policy. The statement concluded that Huang Jing’s collaboration with foreign intelligence agents was “subversion and foreign interference in Singapore’s domestic politics.” The Singapore government has not named the foreign country. In 1988, Singapore had expelled an American diplomat for interference in domestic politics. But it is generally accepted that Singapore’s moves in Huang Jing’s case were directed at China. Implications for ASEAN There has been no systematic study of Chinese influence operations in ASEAN member states. As a major economy contiguous to Southeast Asia, China will always naturally enjoy significant influence even in the absence of such operations. However, anecdotal evidence suggests that Singapore’s experience is generally consistent across the region. The differences stem mainly from lax governance standards in other ASEAN member states and their lower level of development. Economic inducements and the greater dependence of these countries on Chinese investment, under the general rubric of the Belt and Road Initiative, seem to play a more prominent role. A common factor is the focus on overseas Chinese communities. Such operations are leading China into sensitive territory in Southeast Asia, where the overseas Chinese are not always welcome minorities. China’s navigation of these complexities has in many cases been clumsy. Malaysia provides a particularly egregious example that betrays a form of cultural and political autism. During the 2018 Malaysian general elections, the Chinese ambassador to Malaysia openly campaigned for the president of the Malaysian Chinese Association (MCA) in his constituency. This was a blatant violation of the Appendix 2 178 principle of noninterference enshrined in Article 41 of the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. It exposed beyond the possibility of concealment what China really thinks of noninterference. The MCA president lost his seat. This was not the only instance of insensitive behavior by Chinese diplomats in Malaysia. In 2015, the previous Chinese ambassador saw fit to make his way to Kuala Lumpur’s Chinatown, where only days previously the police had to use water cannons to disperse a potentially violent anti-Chinese demonstration. There the Chinese ambassador delivered a speech that, among other things, pronounced the Chinese government’s opposition to any form of racial discrimination, adding for good measure that it would be a shame if the peace of the area were to be disrupted by the ill-intentioned and that Beijing would not stand idly by if anything threatened the interests of its citizens and Malaysia-China relations. Under other circumstances, these sentiments would perhaps have passed unnoticed. But the timing and context laid the ambassador’s remarks open to disquieting interpretations and drew a protest from the Malaysian government. The PRC foreign ministry spokesman defended the ambassador’s action as “normal, friendly behavior.” Undaunted, in another speech a day later, the Chinese ambassador said, “I would like to stress once more, overseas huaqiao and huaren, no matter where you go, no matter how many generations you are, China is forever your warm national home.” 4 Such behavior is not atypical in Southeast Asia. If other Chinese diplomats have behaved more prudently in their engagement of overseas Chinese communities in other ASEAN countries, it seems a matter of differences between individuals rather than policy. Since such behavior is patently not in China’s interest, China may be beginning to believe its own propaganda. President Xi’s concentration of power and insistence on greater party control seem to have created echo chambers where Chinese diplomats and officials probably report only what is in accordance with preexisting beliefs, resulting in situations where instructions are blindly given and followed. This kind of behavior is not confined to countries where there are large overseas Chinese communities. Cultural autism or insensitivity is one of the self-created obstacles to the smooth implementation of the BRI that China is experiencing around the world. And as the media report on the problems, awareness spreads. This does not mean that countries will shun working with China. But countries are going to be increasingly cautious. They will push back when the terms of engagement are too onerous and they will seek to forge relationships with as many other major powers as possible. Following the Malaysian elections, China is projecting friendliness toward Malaysia. But as with Singapore, this is a pause, not the end of the story. Since influence operations are Appendix 2 179 embedded in the intrinsic nature of the Chinese state, they cannot be abandoned unless the nature of the Chinese state fundamentally changes. This is very unlikely. NOTES 1 ​“Singapore Government Statement,” Government of Singapore, May 15, 1971, http://www​. nas​. gov​. sg​ / archivesonline​/ data​/ pdfdoc​/ SGPress​_ 3​_ 15​. 5​. 71​. pdf. 2 ​Jermyn Chow, “SAF Armoured Vehicles Seized in Hong Kong Port, Mindef Expects Shipment to Return to Singapore ‘Expeditiously,’ ” Straits Times (Singapore), November 24, 2016, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. straitstimes​. com​/ asia​/ se​- asia​/ 9​- saf​- armoured​- vehicles​- seized​- at​- hong​- kong​- port. 3 ​“Cancellation of Singapore Permanent Residence (SPR) Status—Huang Jing and Yang Xiuping,” Singapore Ministry of Home Affairs, August 6, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. mha​. gov​. sg​ / newsroom​/ press​- release​/ news​/ cancellation​- of​- singapore​- permanent​- residence​-(spr)​- status—huang​- jing​ - and​- yang​- xiuping. 4 ​Shannon Teoh and Eunice Au, “KL Wants Chinese Envoy to Explain Remarks,” Straits Times (Singapore), October 2, 2015, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.straitstimes​.com​/asia​/se​-asia​/kl​-wants​-chinese​ -envoy​-to​-explain​-remarks. UNITED KINGDOM Unlike the United States, Australia, and New Zealand, the United Kingdom has had no significant all-encompassing debate over Chinese influence operations. When they have occurred, the debates tend to be confined to specific areas such as the media, academia, or the economy. But so far, no one institute has attempted to bring to light the full gamut of Chinese United Front and influence-peddling operations. As such, Britain’s response to China’s attempts to insinuate itself within Britain’s critical infrastructure, universities, civil society, political system, and think tanks has been scattershot at best. The United Kingdom has a complex political, economic, and historical relationship with China, which is a significant trading partner and an increasingly significant source of investment. 1 Especially since the official elevation of UK-China relations to Golden Era status in 2014 and the result of the 2016 Brexit referendum, the United Kingdom has become more open to Chinese influence. 2 Areas of vulnerability to improper interference include political and civil society actors as well as the media. Chinese firms are involved in strategic parts of the British economy, including telecommunications and nuclear power. Improper interference activities can be difficult to distinguish from acceptable influence via civil society exchange, public diplomacy, and commerce. Problem cases include not only Chinese cyberattacks on political organizations and think tanks but also willing collaboration and reluctant complicity. A report by GPPi and Merics characterized the most important areas for Chinese Appendix 2 180 influence operations as civil society and the media. 3 But others have noted that China’s leverage over the UK economy is equally, if not more, important. Politics Since 2012, the UK governments under prime ministers David Cameron and Theresa May have progressively toned down criticism of China over human rights and Beijing’s obligations toward the United Kingdom to respect the Sino-British agreement on Hong Kong. While this may be in part due to the United Kingdom’s relatively weakening position, these changes have coincided with Chinese efforts to influence British foreign policy. Influence activities by China have included not only apparent attempts to engage in cyberattacks on the Scottish Parliament and on think tanks specializing in international security issues with connections to government but also reports of intimidating messages sent to politicians seen as enemies of China. 4 China has also denied UK politicians, such as members of the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee and the deputy chair of the Conservative Party’s Human Rights Commission, Ben Rogers, access to Hong Kong to investigate human rights issues there. 5 China has also acquired influence by offering jobs to former politicians, potentially creating dependencies. Former prime minister David Cameron is a case in point. Cameron distanced himself from the Dalai Lama in 2013 and embraced a Golden Era of UK-China ties in 2015 while still in office, positioning himself as China’s best friend in Europe. 6 Once out of office, Cameron accepted a senior role in the UK-China Fund, a major infrastructure fund connected with China’s Belt and Road Initiative. 7 Academia and Civil Society The Chinese government can exercise influence in the United Kingdom through a number of mechanisms: repression in China that affects China-related work, such as the new Foreign NGO Management Law; remote cybermonitoring; the creation of new institutions it controls; collaborations based on Chinese funding, with strings attached; control of Chinese nationals in the United Kingdom; and reporting on or pressuring domestic institutions and individuals in the United Kingdom. The targets of such influence activities include the communities these actors serve: students, clients, and the wider public. Chinese scholars and students in the United Kingdom (as of March 2018, some 170,000) register with the Chinese Students and Scholars Association UK, which organizes political education events and is supposed to monitor its members in accordance with its “patriotic” mission. 8 Reportedly, students at some universities in Appendix 2 181 the United Kingdom have also established Chinese Communist Party cells. 9 The use of the CSSA UK to monitor dissent among Chinese students in the United Kingdom is a direct violation of the principles of the United Kingdom’s democracy. Institutions created or managed by the Chinese authorities include the country’s twenty-nine Hanban-managed Confucius Institutes as well as the new Peking University HSBC Business School Oxford Campus—the first overseas campus of a Chinese university. These institutions have triggered some concerns. They openly discriminate against certain groups, such as Falun Gong practitioners who are excluded from employment, as North American cases have shown. 10 Reportedly, agreements with universities that host Confucius Institutes require adherence to Chinese law according to Hanban policies and they are subject to nondisclosure agreements. 11 The concern that these institutions practice (self-)censorship is somewhat mitigated as long as the authorship of censored accounts is clear and robust and critical discussion takes place elsewhere in the United Kingdom. Activities benefitting from Chinese funding or commercial ties with China are all the more concerning when Chinese influence is less easy to trace. It is impossible to tell, for example, if Huawei’s donation to Chatham House’s Asia-Pacific program will affect this venerable institution’s independence and if UK universities’ selfcensorship on their Chinese campuses will bleed into their home bases. 12 It is clear, on the other hand, that funding provided to research students and researchers who come to the United Kingdom from China leads to self-censorship. The increased role of the China Scholarship Council, a PRC-funded grant provider, is therefore of great concern, as it clearly would not approve projects that might anger China’s government. 13 UK-based publishing in China gives rise to concerns about censorship, as in the case of Cambridge University Press temporarily censoring the online version of its journal China Quarterly in China to accommodate government censorship requests. 14 China’s treatment of UK-funded educational institutions in China is also of concern in Britain. In June 2018, the University of Nottingham’s campus in Ningbo removed its associate provost, Stephen Morgan, after he wrote an online piece criticizing the results of China’s Nineteenth Party Congress. 15 Nottingham has previously given the appearance of buckling to Chinese pressure. In 2016, Nottingham abruptly shut its School of Contemporary Chinese Studies just as students were preparing for exams. The action led to the departure of its director, Steve Tsang, a China scholar known for his integrity and independence from Beijing. Sources close to the incident said that PRC pressure on the university played a direct role in the closure of the institute. Tsang is now the director of the China Institute at the School of Oriental and Africa Studies at the University of London. Appendix 2 182 Media The UK media have long been important international sources of information and insight on China, reporting independently and critically. While independent reporting continues, Chinese official media have become more influential in the United Kingdom and internationally through their UK presence. Primarily, they have expanded their operations and reach. For example, the re-branded China Global Television Network Europe Ltd (CGTN), headquartered in London, is seeking to increase activities and China Daily now distributes its China Watch “supplement” as an advertisement inside the respected conservative newspaper the Daily Telegraph. The UK and Chinese governments have also concluded a Television Co-Production Agreement that provides a framework under which TV producers in both countries can share resources but have to respect “stipulations in the relevant Party’s law and regulations.” 16 Given the United Kingdom’s special historical relationship with Hong Kong, the central authorities’ heavy influence on the Hong Kong media and the deterioration of media freedom in Hong Kong are of relevance in the United Kingdom, where the case of rising self-censorship at the South China Morning Post, for example, has been noted. 17 According to confidential reports, some journalists who have left Hong Kong for the United Kingdom have encountered intimidation attempts. The effects of media-influencing activities taking place in the United Kingdom are hard to assess. Critical reporting continues, but the rise of commercial ventures transporting censorship into the United Kingdom looks set to continue too. For the moment, increasingly difficult access to information and insight in China, as a result of domestic repression, is at least as great a problem as attempts to influence or repress remotely in the United Kingdom. The Economy For years, the United Kingdom was a bit of an outlier in its openness to Chinese investment and its willingness to grant Chinese firms, even state-owned ones, access to its critical infrastructure. Nonetheless, there is now growing concern in London about China’s ability to leverage its growing economic power into political influence and to use its riches to buy, borrow, or steal key Western technologies that sit at the heart of Western economies. In partnership with France and Germany, the UK government has also introduced mechanisms to monitor and block Chinese takeovers of high-technology companies in sensitive sectors. 18 The three nations also support efforts to tighten EU-wide regulations to govern Chinese investment so that Chinese entities cannot exploit the weaker regulatory systems of some European countries to gain access to potentially sensitive Appendix 2 183 technologies. It is unclear how the United Kingdom’s Brexit plan will affect the stated desire of the UK government to ensure that critical technologies do not fall into Chinese hands. For years, the Chinese telecom behemoth Huawei has provided broadband gear and mobile networks to its clients in Britain, which include British Telecom and Vodafone. And for years, Huawei executives used their substantial business opportunities in Britain as an example to counter allegations in the United States and other Western countries that Huawei was linked to the People’s Liberation Army and therefore a security risk. Now it seems that Britain’s government is having second thoughts. A government report issued in July 2018 noted that technical and supply-chain issues with equipment made by Huawei have exposed Britain’s telecom networks to new security risks. 19 Earlier in 2018, Britain’s cybersecurity watchdog warned telecommunications companies against dealing with the Chinese manufacturer ZTE, citing “potential risks” to national security. 20 ZTE was involved in widespread sanctions-busting in deals with Iran and North Korea. Another area of growing concern is nuclear power. China General Nuclear Power (GNP)—the main player in China’s nuclear industry—is considering the purchase of a 49 percent stake in the United Kingdom’s existing nuclear plants. 21 The nuclear power giant has already taken a 33.5 percent stake in the Hinkley Point C power station, which is being built with French technology. China experts in the United Kingdom such as Isabel Hilton, the CEO of Chinadialogue​. net, have observed that in opening up its vital infrastructure to China, the United Kingdom was without parallel in the Western world. “No other OECD country has done this. This is strategic infrastructure, and China is a partner but not an ally in the security sense. . . . ​You are making a 50-year bet, not only that there will be no dispute between the UK and China but also no dispute between China and one of the UK’s allies. It makes no strategic sense.” 22 Responses to Interference Activities In addition to some limited pushback on Chinese economic moves, there are signs that the United Kingdom is slowly understanding the challenge presented by Chinese influence activities. UK media have continued to report pressure on journalists, the media, civil society, and those involved in politics. This reporting has been somewhat effective in correcting perceptions of the nature and functioning of Chinese governance. The media have also focused attention on how China monitors and obstructs the work of foreign reporters in China. The political system has also begun to respond to some influence activities. At the domestic level, a parliamentary inquiry on the United Kingdom’s relations with China, Appendix 2 184 launched in 2015 and relaunched in 2017, has sought input on some of the issues discussed here. 23 A newly launched NGO, Hong Kong Watch, focuses on drawing attention to the United Kingdom’s special responsibility toward Hong Kong. The Conservative Party Human Rights Commission has produced its own report on the deteriorating human rights situation in both China and Hong Kong and has organized inquiries and events on topics such as the United Kingdom’s Confucius Institutes. 24 While the Foreign and Commonwealth Office presents the relationship with China as primarily collaborative, it is also conducting research on Chinese influence and interference activities. 25 At the international level, the United Kingdom has joined several open letters to signal its position on China’s violations of human rights. 26 Civil society has also sought to raise the Foreign NGO Management Law as well as to highlight intensified repression. By contrast, responses from academic institutions have so far been sporadic. For example, in 2011, the University of Cambridge disaffiliated CSSA Cambridge due to its undemocratic organization. 27 In 2017, international academics joined together to convince the Cambridge University Press to stop censoring its publications available in China. 28 Still, despite experiencing such influence campaigns in the past, such as with Libya, which was spelled out in the 2011 Woolf Inquiry, there seems to have been no coherent initiative on protecting academic freedom and maintaining wider ethical standards in the face of these types of campaigns. 29 NOTES 1 ​$9.6 billion in the United Kingdom according to Godement and Vasselier, “China at the Gates.” 2 ​“New Phase in Golden Era for UK-China Relations,” Government of the United Kingdom, December 15, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.gov​.uk​/government​/news​/new​-phase​-in​-golden​-era​-for​-uk​ - china​- relations. 3 ​Benner et al., “Authoritarian Advance.” 4 ​Paul Hutcheon, “China Accused of Being Behind Recent Cyber Attack on Scottish Parliament,” Herald (Scotland), September 16, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, http://www​.heraldscotland​.com​/news​ /15540166​.China​_accused​_of​_being​_behind​_recent​_cyber​_attack​_on​_Scottish​_Parliament; Gordon Corera, “UK Think Tanks Hacked by Groups in China, Cyber-Security Firm Says,” BBC, February 26, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, http://www​.bbc​.co​.uk​/news​/uk​-43172371. 5 ​George Parker, “British MPs Banned from Hong Kong Visit,” Financial Times (UK), November 30, 2014, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. ft​. com​/ content​/ 08919562​- 78ba​- 11e4​- b518​- 00144feabdc0; Tom Phillips and Benjamin Haas, “British Conservative Party Activist Barred from Entering Hong Kong,” Guardian (UK), October 11, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theguardian​.com​/world​/2017​/oct​ / 11​/ british​- conservative​- party​- activist​- benedict​- rogers​- hong​- kong. 6 ​Lucy Hornby, James Kynge, and George Packer, “ ’Golden Era’ of UK-China Trade Links in Peril,” Financial Times (UK), January 26, 2018, subscription required, https://www​.ft​.com​/content​/cb552198​-02c0​-11e8​ - 9650​- 9c0ad2d7c5b5. Appendix 2 185 7 ​“Summary of Business Appointments Applications—Rt Hon David Cameron,” Advisory Committee on Business Appointments, Government of the United Kingdom, February 28, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. gov​. uk​/ government​/ publications​/ cameron​- david​- prime​- minister​- acoba​- recommendation /summary-of-business-appointments-applications-rt-hon-david-cameron; Emily Feng, “David Cameron Takes Senior Role in China Infrastructure Fund,” Financial Times (UK), December 16, 2017, subscription required, https://www​.ft​.com​/content​/07a05ac2​-e238​-11e7​-97e2​-916d4fbac0da. 8 ​“Chinese Embassy Concerned as Lasting UK University Strike Affects Students,” Xinhua (China), March 1, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, http://www​.xinhuanet​.com​/english​/2018​-03​/01​/c​_137006815​.htm. 9 ​Bethany Allen-Ebrahimian, “The Chinese Communist Party Is Setting Up Cells at Universities Across America,” Foreign Policy, April 18, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://foreignpolicy​.com​/2018​/04​/18​ / the​- chinese​- communist​- party​- is​- setting​- up​- cells​- at​- universities​- across​- america​- china​- students​- beijing​ -surveillance. 10 ​James Bradshaw and Colin Freeze, “McMaster Closing Confucius Institute over Hiring Issues,” Globe and Mail (Toronto), May 11, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theglobeandmail​.com​/news​/national​ / education​/ mcmaster​- closing​- confucius​- institute​- over​- hiring​- issues​/ article8372894. 11 ​Rachelle Peterson, “Outsourced to China: Confucius Institutes and Soft Power in American Higher Education,” National Association of Scholars, April 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. nas​. org​ / images​/ documents​/ confucius​_ institutes​/ NAS​_ confuciusInstitutes​. pdf; Daniel Sanderson, “Universities ‘Sign Chinese Gagging Clause,’ ” Times (London), September 5, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. thetimes​. co​. uk​/ article​/ universities​- sign​- chinese​- gagging​- clause​- q7qz7jpf3. 12 ​“Chinese Power ‘May Lead to Global Academic Censorship Crisis,’ ” Times Higher Education (London), December 7, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.timeshighereducation​.com​/news​/chinese​ - power​- may​- lead​- global​- academic​- censorship​- crisis#survey​- answer. 13 ​For example, King’s College London increased its CSC PhD scholarships tenfold “in recent years.” King’s College London, July 12, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.kcl​.ac​.uk​/newsevents​/news​ / newsrecords​/ 2017​/ 12​- December​/ King’s​- China​- scholarship​- programme​- expands​- tenfold​. aspx. 14 ​Tom Phillips, “Cambridge University Press Censorship ‘Exposes Xi Jinping’s Authoritarian Shift,’ ” Guardian (UK), August 20, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theguardian​.com​/uk​-news​/2017​ / aug​/ 20​/ cambridge​- university​- press​- censorship​- exposes​- xi​- jinpings​- authoritarian​- shift. 15 ​Emily Feng, “China Tightens Party Control of Foreign University Ventures,” Financial Times (UK), July 2, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.ft​.com​/content​/4b885540​-7b6d​-11e8​-8e67​-1e1a0846c475. 16 ​“Exploratory Memorandum on the Television Co-production Agreement between the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the People’s Republic of China,” accessed October 11, 2018, https://assets​.publishing​.service​.gov​.uk​/government​/uploads​/system​/uploads​ /attachment​_data​/file​/649774​/EM​_UK​_China​_TV​.pdf. 17 ​Tom Phillips, “Mysterious Confession Fuels Fears of Beijing’s Influence on Hong Kong’s Top Newspaper,” Guardian (UK), July 25, 2016, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theguardian​.com​/world​/2016​/jul​/25​ / south​- china​- morning​- post​- china​- influence​- hong​- kong​- newspaper​- confession. 18 ​Bates Gill and Benjamin Schreer, “The Global Dimension of China’s Influence Operations,” Strategist, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, April 11, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. aspistrategist​ . org​. au​/ global​- dimension​- chinas​- influence​- operations. 19 ​Jack Stubbs, “Exclusive: Britain Says Huawei ‘Shortcomings’ Expose New Telecom Networks Risks,” Reuters, July 19, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.reuters​.com​/article​/us​-huawei​-security​ -britain​-exclusive​/exclusive​-britain​-says​-huawei​-shortcomings​-expose​-new​-telecom​-networks​-risks​ - idUSKBN1K92BX. Appendix 2 186 20 ​“China’s ZTE Deemed a ‘National Security Risk’ to UK,” Guardian (UK), April 17, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theguardian​.com​/technology​/2018​/apr​/17​/chinas​-zte​-a​-national​-security​ - risk​- to​- uk​- warns​- watchdog. 21 ​Zoe Wood, “China Looking to Buy Stake in UK Nuclear Plants, Say Reports,” Guardian (UK), July 8, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theguardian​.com​/environment​/2018​/jul​/08​/china​-interested​ - majority​- stake​- uk​- nuclear​- power​- stations​- reports. 22 ​Adam Vaughan and Lily Kuo, “China’s Long Game to Dominate Nuclear Power Relies on the UK,” Guardian (UK), July 26, 2018, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.theguardian​.com​/environment​/2018​ / jul​/ 26​/ chinas​- long​- game​- to​- dominate​- nuclear​- power​- relies​- on​- the​- uk. 23 ​“UK Relations with China Inquiry,” Parliament of the United Kingdom, June 8, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. parliament​. uk​/ business​/ committees​/ committees​- a​- z​/ commons​- select​ /foreign​-affairs​-committee​/inquiries1​/parliament​-2015​/inquiry; “New Inquiry: China and the International Rules-based System,” Parliament of the United Kingdom, November 21, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. parliament​. uk​/ business​/ committees​/ committees​- a​- z​/ commons​- select​/ foreign​- affairs​ -committee​/news​-parliament​-2017​/china​-inquiry​-launch​-17​-19. 24 ​“The Darkest Moment: The Crackdown on Human Rights in China, 2013-16,” Conservative Party Human Rights Commission, June 2016, accessed October 11, 2018, http:// conservativehumanrights​. com​/ reports​ / submissions​/ CPHRC​_ China​_ Human​_ Rights​_ Report​_ Final​. pdf 25 ​Foreign Office of the United Kingdom, “Why Does China Matter to the UK?” YouTube, November 29, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https:// www​. youtube​. com​/ watch​? v​=​YWwBDB1KPeY. 26 ​Godement and Vasselier, “China at the Gates.” 27 ​“Chinese Students & Scholars Association Disaffiliated from University,” Varsity online, December 3, 2011, accessed October 11, 2018, https://www​.varsity​.co​.uk​/news​/4166. 28 ​James A. Millward, “Open Letter to Cambridge University Press about Its Censorship of the China Quarterly,” Medium, August 19, 2017, accessed October 11, 2018, https://medium​.com​/ @millwarj​/open​ - letter​- to​- cambridge​- university​- press​- about​- its​- censorship​- of​- the​- journal​- china​- quarterly​- c366f76dcdac. 29 ​“The Woolf Inquiry: An Inquiry into the LSE’s Links with Libya and Lessons to be Learned,” Council of the London School of Economics, October 2011, accessed October 11, 2018, http://www​.lse​.ac​.uk​/News​/News​ -Assets​/PDFs​/The​-Woolf​-Inquiry​-Report​-An​-inquiry​-into​-LSEs​-links​-with​-Libya​-and​-lessons​-to​-be​-learned​ - London​- School​- of​- Economics​- and​- Political​- Sciences​. pdf. Appendix 2 APPENDIX 3 Chinese-Language Media Landscape Official and Semi-Official Chinese-Language Media By 2018, all of the major official Chinese media outlets had embedded themselves deeply into the communications and broadcasting infrastructure of the United States. • CCTV or CGTN (English and Chinese), the semiofficial Hong Kong–based Phoenix TV, and a few Chinese provincial TV channels are available in add-on packages of two major satellite TV providers in the United States, DISH Network and DIRECTV. CCTV channels (English and Chinese) are in the cable systems of all the major metropolitan areas of the United States. • The major official Chinese TV networks, including CCTV and major Chinese provincial TV networks, and the quasi-official Phoenix TV, are all in the program lineups of Chinese TV streaming services that have become popular among Chinese communities in the United States. There are four major Chinese streaming services in the United States: iTalkBB Chinese TV ( 蜻蜓電視 ), Charming China ( 魅力中國 ), Great Wall ( 長城平台 ), and KyLin TV ( 麒麟電視 ). All these services carry the major official Chinese TV channels, including major provincial channels, and are accessible nationwide. • The major official Chinese media organizations, CCTV (CGTN), Xinhua, the People’s Daily, and China Daily (the only major official newspaper in English), have a heavy presence on all major social media platforms of the United States and have many followers. All these outlets use Facebook and Twitter and other platforms, even though those platforms are blocked in China. • Quasi-official Phoenix TV ( 鳳凰衛視 ), a global TV network with links to the PRC’s Ministry of State Security and headquartered in Hong Kong with branches around the world, including the United States, also has a substantial presence on all the major social media platforms in the United States. 188 Chinese media social media presence (E) = English version; (C) = Chinese version Platform Official Organizations and Subscribers/Followers Quasi-official CCTV (CGTN) Xinhua People’s Daily China Daily Twitter CCTV: 532K (E+C) 11.8M (E) 4.54M (E) 1.8M (E) 7K (C) CGTN: 7.19M (E) 11.6M (C) 221K (C) Facebook CCTV: 48.04M (E); 46.92M (E) 43.15M (E) 35.17M (E) 14K (C) 3.44M (C) 171K (C) CGTN: 58.28M (E) CGTN America: 1.2M (E) YouTube 289K (C) 173K (E) 25K (E) 3K (E) 75K (C) Instagram 550K (E) 111K (E) 696K (E) 23.5K (E) N/A Phoenix TV (fully controlled by Chinese government) PRC-Funded and PRC-Controlled Media Outlets The Chinese Communist Party liaises with Chinese-language media mainly through the Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the State Council (or Qiao Ban 侨办 ). The Qiao Ban holds an annual conference on Chinese-language media called the World Chinese Media Forum. These media outlets are registered in the United States by US citizens or permanent residents, but they might actually be owned by Chinese state-run companies. The Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the State Council of PRC ( 中國國務院僑務辦公室 ) appears to directly control the Asian Culture and Media Group ( 美國亞洲文化傳媒集團 ) in America, which has three media subsidiaries: SinoVision ( 美國中文電視 ), the China Press (Qiaobao or 僑報 ), and the Sino American Times ( 美洲时报 ). Sky Link TV ( 天下衛視 ) is another media outlet in the United States. Unlike SinoVision and Qiaobao, it is fully owned by Guangzhou Media American Co, Ltd. ( 美國廣視傳媒有限公司 ), which in turn is owned by GZ Television Media ( 广州影视传媒有限公司 ), a Chinese state-owned media outlet. SinoVision The group’s main TV outlet is SinoVision. It operates two twenty-four-hour channels (one Chinese and one English), and it is on the program lineups of cable systems Time Warner Cable-73, Verizon FiOS-26, Cablevision-73, and RCN-80, covering about thirty million people. Sinovision’s website ( 美国中文电视 , ht t p : //w w w​.s i n o v i s i o n ​.n e t ) r a n k s Appendix 3 189 twelfth among all the Chinese websites in the United States. Its reporting hews closely to China’s official media: • Example 1: On June 27, 2017, the US Department of State, in its annual Trafficking in Persons Report 2017, put China at Tier 3, the lowest class. In reporting this news, SinovisionNet simply reposted comments from the official website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China attacking the human rights record of the United States. 1 • Example 2: In March 2017, the US State Department published its 2016 Human Rights Report. SinovisionNet published two stories on this topic. One reported the reaction to the story by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The other story came from Xinhua, which was highly critical of the US human rights situation. SinovisionNet also published two reports by the Information Office of the State Council of China on America’s human rights record. It did not publish State Department’s human rights report. 2 • Example 3: On the tensions in the South China Sea, almost all the stories posted on SinovisionNet are from official Chinese media outlets and websites. They are naturally critical of US actions in that area. 3 Qiaobao and the Sino American Times Qiaobao, or the China Press ( 僑報 , http:// www​. uschinapress​. com), is the flagship pro-PRC newspaper published in the United States. Its website ranks forty-first among all the Chinese websites in the United States. Qiaobao was established in 1990. It is headquartered in New York City with branches in twelve major metropolitan areas of the United States. The Sino American Times ( 美洲时报 ) is a free paper and not a major media presence in the United States. Independent Media Over the course of the last decade, most of the independent Chinese-language media outlets in the United States have been taken over by businessmen sympathetic to the PRC. • Wenxuecheng ( 文学城 , wenxuecheng​. com) is the most popular Chinese-language website in the United States. In 2003, it was purchased by a Taiwanese American Appendix 3 190 businessman with business interests in China. There is an unsubstantiated rumor that the investment was subsidized by $1 million from the Ministry of Propaganda. • Duowei is another online source that was for years an independent Chineselanguage media. It was purchased in 2009 by a pro-PRC Hong Kong businessman. • Mingjing, or Mirror Media, a Chinese-language web presence based in Canada, was once considered independent of Beijing’s control but has modified its reporting in recent years. • Backchina​. com, ( 倍可亲 , ranked as the fifth most popular Chinese website in the United States), was once a staunch critic of China like Duowei. But in 2017 its editors attended the ninth World Chinese Media Forum in China and its reporting became far more positive about the PRC. • Sing Tao Newspaper Group was established in Hong Kong in 1938. In 2001, it was purchased by a pro-Beijing businessman. • The World Journal ( 世界日报 ) was for years the premier Chinese-language paper in the United States. It, too, has softened its stance on the PRC in recent years. • Ming Pao served the Hong Kong-immigrant community. It is another formerly independent newspaper that has fallen under Beijing’s control. • Boxun is a Chinese-language news site whose servers are located in North Carolina. It was founded by an immigrant from China. Its news is highly unreliable. • The Epoch Times ( 大纪元 ), the Hope Radio, and New Tang Dynasty TV, remain independent of PRC control. They are either owned or operated by adherents to the Falun Gong sect, which is banned in China. Their reporting on China is uneven. • Vision Times (secretchina​. com) was founded in 2001 as a website, secretchina​ . com, and began publishing a free weekly newspaper in 2005. Appendix 3 191 NOTES 1 ​“ 美国务院欲将中国人权状况调为最差等级外交部回应 .” Sinovision. June 27, 2017. news​.sinovision​.net​/politics​ /201706​/00411546​.htm. 2 ​“ 中国国新办发布《 2016 年美国的人权纪录 .” Sinovision. March 9, 2017. news​.sinovision​.net​/politics​/201703​ /00401996​.htm; “ 中国外交部就美国人权报告涉华内容等答问 .” Sinovision. March 6, 2017. news​.sinovision​.net​ / politics​/ 201703​/ 00401682​. htm. 3 ​“ 航行自由 ≠ 军事行动自由中方驳斥对南海问题误读 .” Sinovision. February 19, 2018. news​.sinovision​.net​ / politics​/ 201802​/ 00431582​. htm; “ 过年也不消停 ? 美国航母 “ 卡尔森 ” 号春节前南海巡航 .” Sinovision. February 13, 2018. news​.sinovision​.net​/politics​/201802​/00431309​.htm. Appendix 3 192 Appendix 3 Dissenting Opinion SUSAN SHIRK Although I have no problem with the factual research that has gone into specific sections of the report, I respectfully dissent from what I see as the report’s overall inflated assessment of the current threat of Chinese influence seeking on the United States. The report discusses a very broad range of Chinese activities, only some of which constitute coercive, covert, or corrupt interference in American society and none of which actually undermines our democratic political institutions. Not distinguishing the legitimate from the illegitimate activities detracts from the credibility of the report. The cumulative effect of this expansive inventory that blurs together legitimate with illegitimate activities is to overstate the threat that China today poses to the American way of life. Especially during this moment in American political history, overstating the threat of subversion from China risks causing overreactions reminiscent of the Cold War with the Soviet Union, including an anti-Chinese version of the Red Scare that would put all ethnic Chinese under a cloud of suspicion. Right now, I believe the harm we could cause our society by our own overreactions actually is greater than that caused by Chinese influence seeking. That is why I feel I must dissent from the overall threat assessment of the report. 194 Dissenting Opinion Afterword ORVILLE SCHELL AND LARRY DIAMOND What makes this report timely and important is China’s increasingly forward and aggressive posture on the global stage. Once largely a form of economic competition, China’s recent turn to military and political rivalry with the United States has changed the whole equation of the bilateral relationship. If the United States is to fare well in this increasingly adversarial competition, Americans must have a far better sense than they now do about both the nature of the system and values that underlay the People’s Republic of China and the challenges Beijing’s ambitious agenda of multi-faceted outreach is beginning to pose for our country—especially our media, universities, think tanks, and other civil society institutions that make our society so unique, vibrant, and strong. However, at the same time that we fortify ourselves against harmful outside interference, we must also be mindful to do no harm. In particular, we must guard against having this report used unfairly to cast aspersions on Chinese, whether Chinese American immigrants who have become (or are becoming) United States citizens, Chinese students, Chinese businesspeople, or other kinds of Chinese visitors, whose contributions to America’s progress over the past century have been enormous. Just because the Chinese Communist Party presumes that all ethnic Chinese (wherever they may reside) still owe some measure of loyalty “to the Chinese motherland,” zuguo ( 祖国 ), does not mean that they are collectively in possession of compromised loyalty to their adopted home or place of study. Our Working Group’s findings do suggest that the leadership of the PRC has stepped up a new and well funded campaign of influence seeking in the United States. However, this should not be viewed as an invitation to a McCarthy eralike reaction against Chinese in America. Rather, it is a summons to greater awareness of the challenges our country faces and greater vigilance in defending our institutions. In helping to convene this Working Group on Chinese influence seeking in the United States (and elsewhere in the world), the intention of the Task Force on US-China relations has been to limit the growing PRC challenge to American institutions and values, which is being played according to rules that are increasingly lacking in reciprocity. Developing strategies to counteract and protect our society when influence seeking becomes interference is the charge of this report, and perhaps the most effective defense is to strengthen our own democratic values and institutions. But at the same time we would be naïve not to want to become more familiar with the full dimensions of Beijing’s overseas ambitions, the state organs, and the resources now dedicated to “overseas propaganda,” 196 waixuan ( 外宣 ), and the less than transparent manner in which Chinese influence seeking is often carried out. We reiterate: it is absolutely crucial that whatever measures are taken to counteract harmful forms of Chinese influence seeking not end up demonizing any group of Americans, or even visitors to America, in ways that are unfair or reckless. Afterword About the Participants Robert Daly is Director of the Kissinger Institute on China and the United States at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Larry Diamond is Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Elizabeth Economy is the C.V. Starr Senior Fellow and Director for Asia Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. Gen. Karl Eikenberry (Ret.) is the Oksenberg-Rohlen Fellow, Director of the US-Asia Security Initiative and faculty member at Stanford University’s Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center. Donald Emmerson is Director of the Southeast Asia Program and Senior Fellow Emeritus at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University. Francis Fukuyama is the Mosbacher Director of the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, and Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University. Bonnie Glaser is Senior Adviser for Asia and Director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Kyle Hutzler is an MBA candidate at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. Markos Kounalakis is a foreign affairs columnist for the McClatchy newspapers and Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution. Winston Lord is a former US Ambassador to China and former Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs. Evan Medeiros is the Penner Family Chair in Asian Studies at the Georgetown University Walsh School of Foreign Service. James Mulvenon is General Manager at SOS International. 198 Andrew J. Nathan is the Class of 1919 Professor of Political Science at Columbia University. Minxin Pei is the Tom and Margot Pritzker ’72 Professor of Government and George R. Roberts Fellow at Claremont McKenna College. Jeffrey Phillips is the Policy Director at The Annenberg Foundation Trust at Sunnylands. John Pomfret is a Washington Post journalist and author. Orville Schell is the Arthur Ross Director of the Center on US-China Relations at Asia Society. David Shambaugh is Gaston Sigur Professor of Asian Studies, Political Science & International Affairs and Director of the China Policy Program at the Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University. Susan Shirk is Research Professor and Chair of the 21st Century China Center at the University of California San Diego’s School of Global Policy & Strategy. Robert Sutter is Professor of Practice of International Affairs at the George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs. Glenn Tiffert is a Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution. Ezra Vogel is the Henry Ford II Professor of the Social Sciences Emeritus at Harvard University. Christopher Walker is Vice President for Studies and Analysis at the National Endowment for Democracy. About the Participants 199 International Associates Anne-Marie Brady is Professor at the University of Canterbury and a Global Fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington. Timothy Cheek is Director of the Institute of Asian Research, Louis Cha Chair in Chinese Research, and Professor of History at the University of British Columbia. John Fitzgerald is an Emeritus Professor in the Center for Social Impact at Swinburne University of Technology. John Garnaut is a political risk consultant to the Australian government and private sector and was Senior Advisor to former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull. Timothy Garton Ash is a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and Professor of European Studies at the University of Oxford. Francois Godement is the director of the European Council on Foreign Relations’ Asia and China Program. Bilahari Kausikan is a former Permanent Secretary of the Singapore Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Richard McGregor is a Senior Fellow at the Lowy Institute and journalist. Eva Pils is a Professor of Law and Director of Doctoral Studies at the Dickson Poon School of Law, King’s College London. Volker Stanzel is Vice President of the German Council on Foreign Relations and former German Ambassador to China and Japan. About the Participants 200 About the Participants